Showing posts with label Merck. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Merck. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Merck

Ever since the Vioxx scare caused Merck's stock to collapse, one of America's pre-eminent pharmaceutical giants has been on a tear. The companies legal strategy - to fight thousands of individual lawsuits instead of settling - has proven to be a stunning success. New product development in the pharma sphere is notoriously fraught with risk, yet Merck's history of aggressive internal research and development combined with a willingness to join in strategic partnerships puts the company on sure footing.

With a company of Merck's size, the ability of any single product to significantly shift the bottom line is minimized. Yet, some risks to the company's long-run growth do have that potential. In particular, any universal health care proposal put forward in the coming election cycle is likely to put a big brake on earnings growth. It's easy to underestimate health care costs in a society where nearly 50 million people forgo any form of health insurance. No more people will get sick or injured as a result of changed payment mechanisms, but sticker shock is going to set in quickly when many people move to take advantage of mid-tier services for the first time.